Republicans add to their super majorities in the Kentucky House and Senate Lexington Herald Leader
“Next customers: Flynn and Jr.” – Google News
Day: November 3, 2020
The polls were wrong, there will be no Biden landslide, and Trumpism has been stunningly vindicated Telegraph.co.uk
“trumpism” – Google News
Election 2020 Live Updates: Biden and Trump Claim Early Wins, With No Big Prizes Awarded Yet The New York Times
“Do mass shootings increase trump election chances?” – Google News
1. Trump from Michael_Novakhov (197 sites)
Thus far the southern states haven’t been going Joe Biden’s way. But those states were always going to be gravy if Biden won them. Biden’s core strategy has always come down to flipping Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, and keeping all of the 2016 states.
As we’ve explained, Biden is on track to flip those “big three” states. The question is whether Trump is going to be able to flip any states. Thus far there’s no indication that he will. Biden just won New Hampshire, which is a state that Trump was at least daydreaming about winning, and that he nearly won in 2016.
Trump is still openly fantasizing about flipping Minnesota and Nevada, so we’ll have to keep an eye on those states. The positive results thus far in Arizona are potentially good news for Biden in Nevada. In any case, at least New Hampshire is now off the table for Trump.
The post Joe Biden wins New Hampshire – and it’s a good sign for the results appeared first on Palmer Report.
Palmer Report
1. Trump from Michael_Novakhov (197 sites)
Joe Biden isn’t going to win Florida. Georgia, Ohio, Texas, and North Carolina are looking iffy at best. But here’s the thing: Biden is still on track to win. No, really. It’s just math.
The polls in these five states were close all along, and somewhat erratic in nature. But Biden’s polls have always been solid in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. Biden’s core strategy always centered on flipping them. Nothing has changed in that regard.
The results thus far show that Biden severely underperformed with Cuban voters, but suggest that Biden is outperforming with white suburban voters. This is a good sign for Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, where Biden has had a solid polling lead all along.
Keep in mind that the partial results we’re seeing in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania right now are skewed by the uneven reporting when it comes to in-person vs mail-in votes. It’s the “red mirage” that experts warned us about, and the partial numbers in those three states should be ignored for now.
Joe Biden currently has a definite lead in Arizona, giving him breathing room when it comes to the midwest. This hasn’t exactly been the kind of night that dreams are made of so far – but the evidence still says Biden is likely to win. It’s just math. And at the end of the day, if Biden wins and Trump loses, you’re not going to care whether it’s by 300 electoral votes or 400 electoral votes.
The post This is what it comes down to appeared first on Palmer Report.
Palmer Report
1. Trump from Michael_Novakhov (197 sites)
Former Auburn football coach Tommy Tuberville unseats Democratic Sen. Doug Jones in Alabama Salon
“Mueller’s Russia investigation” – Google News
2020 House and Senate elections: Live updates and results CBS News
“Conspiracy Against US” – Google News
